Monday, November 30, 2009

NEWS TRADING
Monday November 30, 2009
[8:30am NY Time]
CA GDP m/m         BUY 0.1%     SELL 0.7%       USD/CAD
Today we'll be trading the Canadian GDP month on month release,
which is defined (from wikipedia) as "the market value of all final
goods and services produced within a country in a given period of
time. It is also considered the sum of value added at every stage of
production of all final goods and services produced within a country
in a given period of time."  As GDP is basically the measurement of
the "economy" as a whole and it certainly has a strong impact on the
cash rate of the CAD, it'll be a highly anticipated news event.
We are looking for a +0.7%  (or better) or a 0.1% (or worse) of
actual release figure based on the expected 0.4%.  If we do get a
0.7% on the monthly GDP, it would be Canadian Dollar positive and we
should look for entries to SELL USD/CAD; if we get a 0.1% release,
then we should consider BUYING USD/CAD.
Canadian Dollar has been rangebound lately, largely due to the
uncertainty of US Dollar's direction.  However, with USD on a clear
bearish trend, we could expect to see USD/CAD move downward
substantially if the release turns out to be CAD positive.
[10:30pm NY Time]
RBA Rate Decision       BUY 4.00%      SELL 3.50%     AUD/USD
Reserve Bank of Australia  (RBA) is going to hike its official cash
rate once again to 3.75% as it is widely expected by the majority
economists surveyed by both Bloomberg and Reuters.  However, this is
going to be the first time RBA has hiked rates 3 times consecutively
in a row.  Therefore, there is some expectation that RBA may not
hike rate this time, but may resume its rate tightening cycle in
2010.
RBA will also release a statement along with the rate decision.  We
should expect RBA to announce further rate hikes in the future as
Australia's economy is facing inflationary pressures as it is
already out of recession.  I'll be looking at this release and
possible look for areas to sell AUD/USD from the top since AUD might
react to a classic SELL on NEWS type of market sentiment.
(Special Message on Fundamental News Trading)
My Mentoring Service has been officially closed.  I'd like to take
this time and say "Thanks" for your support and tolerance doing the
past 10 days of the launch.  From this moment on I'm going to get
back to the basics and dedicate my time in doing what I do best,
trade and teach my subscribers on to become successful traders!
And of course, this newsletter service and video recording will
continue and I'll posting my videos and trades on my blog,
therefore don't forget to visit my website and my blog when you have
a chance, and make sure to bookmark them.











No comments:

Post a Comment